Market Snapshot: Canadian natural gas production hits a record high in 2023, and industrial gas use continues to increase
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Release date: 2024-06-26
Canadian natural gas production increased in 2023, averaging 17.9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d)Footnote 1. In December 2023, production reached 18.8 Bcf/d. In fact, Canadian production averaged above 18 Bcf/d for eight months in 2023.
While Alberta production increased by 2% from 2022 to 2023, British Columbia (B.C.) production rose by 7% with continued development of Montney Formation tight gas. Liquids-rich Montney gas production is generally the most economic production in Canada and is expected to continue growing. Some partnersFootnote 2 in LNG Canada may also be ramping up their production to prepare for the startup of the project, which is expected by the middle of 2025.Footnote 3 Saskatchewan natural gas production was declining the last few years but increased by 1% in 2023. Total production from other provinces and territories remained level.Footnote 4
Figure 1: Natural Gas Production by Province and Territory
Source and Description
Source: Canada Energy Regulator (CER) and monthly production data from Canadian provinces and territories
Description: This figure shows monthly natural gas production from 2014 to 2023 for Canadian provinces and territories. In December 2023, total production in Canada reached 18.8 Bcf/d. Saskatchewan production remained around 0.3 Bcf/d. There are seasonal swings in production for both Alberta and B.C., with winter months seeing higher levels of production and the summer months seeing lower levels due to lower rig activity. In May 2023 Alberta production was 9.7 Bcf/d and B.C. production were 6.4 Bcf/d. Production increased throughout the final months of 2023, and in December 2023, total production in Alberta was 11.4 Bcf/d and 7.0 Bcf/d in B.C.
Consistent natural gas exports and increasing industrial demand over the last decade
Total natural gas supplyFootnote 5 in Canada—production plus imports—averaged 20.3 Bcf/d in 2023. This was the first year that supply in Canada averaged above 20 Bcf/d. Of this supply, 39% (7.9 Bcf/d) was exported. The remainder of supply was used in Canada. The industrial and other categoryFootnote 6 consumed 33% (6.6 Bcf/d) of supply. Electricity generation consumed 2.1 Bcf/d, the residential sector consumed 1.7 Bcf/d (mainly for space heating, water heating, and cooking), and the commercial sector consumed 2.0 Bcf/d.
Figure 2: Natural Gas Supply and Disposition in Canada
Source and Description
Source: Canada Energy Regulator (CER) and monthly production data from Canadian provinces and territories. Export and import statistics are available from the CER’s Commodity Tracking System. End-use natural gas demand by sector, and natural gas use for electricity generation are available in the Data Appendix of CER’s Canada’s Energy Future 2023. Note that the demands for some of 2021, 2022 and 2023 are estimates.
Description: This dashboard displays two charts. The first is a Sankey chart with the total yearly supply and the flows of supply to the various dispositions, that include exports, residential demand, commercial demand, industrial and other demand, and natural gas used for electricity generation. The Sankey chart can display any year from 2014 to 2023 by selecting the year from the drop-down list. The second chart is a stacked column chart with the supply components and disposition components by year. Total supply and total disposition were 16.9 Bcf/d in 2014, increasing to 20.3 Bcf/d in 2023.
Industrial demand increased over the past decade and was a key driver of natural gas demand growth in 2023. The oil and gas sector, especially Alberta’s oil sands, is a large consumer of natural gas and increasing production levels is a key driver of natural gas useFootnote 7.
Electricity generation from gas-fired turbines has increased over time, particularly as units that use coal-fired generation have retired. Before 2020, demand for gas from electricity generation was the smallest category in Figure 2, since 2020, the residential sector has become the smallest category.
Natural gas demand in the residential and commercial sectors, as well as imports and exports of natural gas in and out of Canada, have, for the most part, remained fairly level over the last decade with only commercial demand having a slight upward trend.Footnote 8
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